Why Trump Won’t Need Election Interference to Win

November 3 2020: That’s not to say it won’t still happen of course.

Turnout in Pennsylvania for a Trump rally in the last week of the campaign (source)

This article is not about the potential of the 2020 election to be impacted by election fraud. There’s plenty out there on this subject already.

At a certain point, such discussion becomes self defeating, because the terms have well and truly been set: whichever side loses will blame election interference for their loss, and are already setting the foundations in the minds of their supporter bases for such a scenario.

Is it a fair fight? Trump and co have the power of the Government on their side, after all, and we all know the Republicans love a gerrymander more than Hillary loves a deleted email or Hunter a missing laptop (too soon?). Speaking of mail, there is also, most notably, this murky postal service business, which I’m not going to even pretend to know enough about to comment on.

But then we have the Dems, in many cases still suspiciously pushing hard for mail-in ballots and early voting under the guise of Covid when there remains no logical reason why people can’t vote in person on the day with appropriate social distancing and mask regulations in place. Is that the best they can do? Well, no, because they have the establishment media on their side, who (last time I checked, which isn’t often, but I assume still are) maintaining a narrative that election interference remains the most significant threat to a Biden victory.

The most notable tool for forwarding this narrative are the ever present polls, as flawed, potentially fictional and subject to trolling as they may be, still giving progressives hope that some sort of majority of voting Americans are willing to hold their noses and vote for the candidate who too frequently has used his own nose for shudder-inducing purposes. As long as the polls maintain this picture, any Trump victory can by default be blamed on backroom shenanigans.

But here’s an unpopular opinion: no such electioneering shenanigans will be needed for the Orange One to finally put sleepy Joe into the political retirement that his current cognitive faculties necessitate. Such is the wave of genuine, if for many still utterly incomprehensible, support that the incumbent President is receiving, a Trumpslide now appears a shoe in.

Seriously, Trump’s rallies are ridiculous. Supporters just drive along roads or park at the side of roads simply to show their support. And Biden? You’ve seen the pitifully attended rallies, claimed to be such due to Covid caution. But surely any neutral observer can see the vast inferiority of this campaign when compared to one with Obama at the helm, best demonstrated when Obama actually did take the helm (finally). More importantly, Biden is barely intelligible at this point. It’s brutal and difficult to watch.

I’m not saying this as a way of willing such an outcome into existence: I live in Australia, and have a level of detachment from a post November 3rd world that many of you probably dream of. I’m saying this simply as an observation. An acknowledgment of the now inescapable phenomenon of a demographic-wide shift in the US voter base. And, as I argued previously — when I was even cocky enough to raise the possibility of Trump winning all 50 states — a genuine attempt to encourage people to do the necessary mental work to prepare for this increasingly inevitable outcome: one that they may still be refusing to even countenance as a possibility.

It’s not just a possibility: it is, to me at least, completely unplugged from mainstream US media, an obvious reality. And with odds still as they are, I’m putting my money where my mouth is to prove it. You may like to as well: at least you will have something to be happy about regardless.